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New era in B.C. politics

B.C.害羞草研究所檚 electoral urban-rural divide now a reality.
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There is now a clear urban-rural divide across the province electoral slate, according to B.C. pollsters.

害羞草研究所淭he only thing you can guarantee out of this close election is that an urban rural divide now exists in B.C.,害羞草研究所 said Joseph Angolano, vice-president of Mainstreet Research.

害羞草研究所淚t害羞草研究所檚 now clearly marked out in the legislature and the challenge will be for whoever forms the next government to bridge that gap. They will be taking over the reigns of a divided province.害羞草研究所

As of 11:30 p.m. election night, it is still uncertain whether B.C. will have a majority government with either the Liberals or NDP, or a minority government with the Green Party holding the balance of power.

Without a 44-seat majority in the legislature, either the Liberals or NDP would have to negotiate with the Greens to form a government.

Angolano said that electoral precedent has been set previously in Ontario in the 1980s with the NDP propping up a Liberal provincial government, and federally when the NDP stood behind the Pierre Trudeau government in 1974.

He said in both cases, the minority governments fell apart forcing a subsequent election, with the NDP losing seats in both instances while the Liberals gained majority victories.

害羞草研究所淚f the Greens with their three seats hold the balance of power, it will be very interesting to see what they do. I predict a minority government won害羞草研究所檛 last more than a year, two at the most.害羞草研究所

Looking forward, Angolano said all three parties need to face how to cross that urban-rural divide in the next election to form a majority government.

害羞草研究所淲hich party is able to break that divide is going to determine who will form the government looking forward for the next 10 years,害羞草研究所 he predicted.

Greg Lyle, president of Innovative Research, said he thinks the economy was a primary issue for rural B.C. voters, while in the Lower Mainland housing affordability was front and centre.

Lyle said in retrospect, he feels NDP leader John Horgan害羞草研究所檚 campaign slogan 害羞草研究所淭his isn害羞草研究所檛 as good as it gets害羞草研究所 resonated with Lower Mainland voters in particular while the Liberal leader Christy Clark ran on a message of being a fiscal success running government so vote for them again failed to excite those same voters.

害羞草研究所淚 don害羞草研究所檛 think the Liberals had a message about how to make things better. We saw that in our polling where Green and NDP supporters were excited about their party害羞草研究所檚 outlook and the Liberal supporters didn害羞草研究所檛 share the same level of enthusiasm for their party.

害羞草研究所淭hat is reflected in turnout numbers on election day. The Green and NDP got out their vote while many Liberal voters were not as motivated and opted to sit this one out. Getting out your vote is always critical in an election.害羞草研究所

Lyle noted both the NDP and Greens were against the LNG and Site C dam megaprojects, while the future of the Trans Mountain pipeline project may also be cast in doubt.

害羞草研究所淎 result like this will lead the Interior hanging economically perhaps but with a minority, another election is probably two years away at the outside, and winning a majority going forward will have to mean looking behind the Lower Mainland ridings.害羞草研究所

Close riding results will likely be impacted by the advance vote count, a process that will take up to two weeks to complete.



Barry Gerding

About the Author: Barry Gerding

Senior regional reporter for Black Press Media in the Okanagan. I have been a journalist in the B.C. community newspaper field for 37 years...
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