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害羞草研究所楨xpecting the unexpected害羞草研究所: Experts say it害羞草研究所檚 hard to determine how 2023 weather will compare to other years

Meteorologist, river forecast centre say week-to-week weather gives better insights

How is 2023害羞草研究所檚 weather going to stack up to previous years?

One expert says it害羞草研究所檚 about 害羞草研究所渆xpecting the unexpected, which is part of the forecast.害羞草研究所

Armel Castellan, a warning preparedness meteorologist with Environment and Climate Change Canada, said climate change is 害羞草研究所渙bviously part of our landscape now.害羞草研究所

害羞草研究所淚t is something that we have seen repeatedly over the last few years, if not decades if we look back over to the north of Canada.害羞草研究所

However, Castellan said he did see comparisons to a few different years: 2012 and 害羞草研究所渢o a certain extent last year.害羞草研究所

But when it comes to exactly how 2023 could compare weather-wise to previous years, Castellan said it is 害羞草研究所渘uanced害羞草研究所 during an update from the province on the spring freshet and wildfire season.

Officials say British Columbians in the southern half of the province may be in for a cool spring, but a lack of rainfall since last fall could cause an increased risk of droughts and wildfires come summer.

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害羞草研究所淭he devil害羞草研究所檚 in the details of that 10-day, two-week forecast where we害羞草研究所檙e going to start to see the events that are really going to shape the hazard season.害羞草研究所

David Campbell echoed that.

害羞草研究所淲e need to watch that week-to-week weather as we go through the year and how the river systems are responding to it,害羞草研究所 explained Campbell, who is the head of the B.C. River Forecast Centre.

He added 害羞草研究所渨e害羞草研究所檙e onto the real wildcards, and that害羞草研究所檚 the point we want to get across as well.害羞草研究所 It害羞草研究所檚 that uncertainty over the next couple of months, he said, that is 害羞草研究所渞eally going to drive things.害羞草研究所

害羞草研究所淲e know that we害羞草研究所檝e experienced things like the heat dome. We know that extreme rainfall, and looking back to recent years, for example, 2017 in the Okanagan where seasonal rainfall could really play a part in terms of elevating the risks that are there.害羞草研究所

Meantime Minister of Emergency Management and Climate Readiness Bowinn Ma said the 害羞草研究所渃limate crisis is here,害羞草研究所 with extreme weather events happening 害羞草研究所渕ore frequently, with more severity, longer durations and greater impacts.害羞草研究所

害羞草研究所淚n fact, in recent years, what we害羞草研究所檙e also seeing is that the time between these extreme weather events is decreasing, which means it is not uncommon for communities to be actively recovering from a previous event and then facing a next one,害羞草研究所 she said.

害羞草研究所淭hese accumulative events are really wearing on a lot of communities, and unfortunately, are likely to become more common as time goes on because of climate change.害羞草研究所

害羞草研究所 With file from Wolfgang Depner

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lauren.collins@blackpress.ca

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Lauren Collins

About the Author: Lauren Collins

I'm a provincial reporter for Black Press Media's provincial team, after my journalism career took me around B.C. since I was 19 years old.
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